Sunday, January 15, 2012

Lucky letter offers an apple share price of 500 dollars target reiterate add hold grade

Beijing time on May 17 morning message, swiss credit analyst Kuerbinde Gecha (Kulbinder Garcha) Zhou Yi releases research to report in the morning, reiterate malic stock " add hold " (Outperform) grade, and share price of 500 dollars target.



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He was considering to investor is analysed in the report 4 be anxious greatly, think, although the apple leads dividend,be in surely 5% , future will still have ready money of 100 billion dollar inside 5 years.



Case is checked express, investor is current 4 be anxious greatly is: IPad possible demand is insufficient; IPhone sales volume may ata pci c usb harddrive enclosure for lap top ontroller reach saturation; Stock hold person overmuch, hard appreciation; Qiao Busi of · of husband of CEO history the base of a fruit (the healthy problem of Steve Jobs) still impeach.



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He gives out unscramble as follows: Library of · of Mu of malic COO the base of a fruit is overcome (Tim Cook) is in a few weeks of the 2nd money before expresses on season telephone conference, IPad demand is exuberant, in the flat computer market that reachs 30 million in dimensions, long-term portion will be achieved 50% ; As more of global each district operation business begins to sell IPhone, this mobile phone today bright growth anticipates sales volume of two years to be respectively 50% with 32% ; Malic market prise motogp xbox 2013 is in 500 indexes of standard general E ata pci best buy r composition total market prise is occupied mediumly than be only 2.6% , normally, a stock should hit a top to 5% ability.



He still points out, the apple is very distinctive, the market share in a lot of domains is very small still, make have very large growth space as before. Besides, be not everybody hold apple stock. The orgnaization opposes a scale season of the 4th money glides somewhat. "Although the limits of malic partner expands, the scale of orgnaization investor is not worth as before. " he says.



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When the problem that speaks of Qiaobusi, he expresses, "This is long-term ata pci and well-founded the most popular moto gp xbox is anxious " . But he thinks, administrative layer of the apple is already special and firm, every earnings that outstanding executive force enough makes his long-term grows 10% every year.



Case checks still undertook elaborating to speculation of a motogp xbox game play few products: He expresses, usb harddrive enclosure the plenary meeting of developer of malic whole world that held to 11 days on June 6 (on WWDC) , this company develops Objective-C the environment to be popularized likely " tiring-room serves " in, roll out likely shed the cloud computation service such as media music. This hopeful is cheap edition IPhone levels road, will handle more task through the server.



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Up to end of season of the 2nd money, cash reserve of the apple is 66 billion dollar, formed certain suppress to share price. Be filled with rate computation according to dynamic city, the excessive price level of market of current and opposite whole is the apple only 10% , under 38% last year, far also under 296% 2003.



Case is checked still think, the apple can be begun likely a few buy. But from before in light of experience, the apple can buy the company with lesser dimensions only normally, and buy a time won't too much.



Besides, the apple uses cash likely still to increase retailing shop amount. Malic retailing shop is average every square foot (add up to 0.093 square metre about) can achieve one year receive 4600 dollars.



Case is checked think, add when the apple fast when putting delay, can undertake share out bonus: "Although I am right the apple is very hopeful, but the meeting is saturated sooner or later. We believe, to in those days, this company will consider to attract investor through the stock is counter-purchased and sharing out bonus. " (book Yu)

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